that‘s fine. But success is still a lottery despite the greatness of the local decision quality. There are brilliant people that never had any success
There is a great deal of luck involved in success, but also a tremendous amount of hard work and discipline. Outsized success does not come form luck alone.
Lots to learn from losers. Focusing on winners is its own dangerous bias. Perhaps the loser is losing for a shitty reason and would succeed if conditions were different. Context matters, but you still need to know enough about the problem to make a smart judgement. Tough to do.