Increased conviction year-over-year that we’re going through the Great Fragmenting. Twitter will still be a big thing, but nothing will replace what Twitter was in 2020.
How about lens When the world was fully Decentralized, Twitter will be behind. Time will ans
The Great Fragmenting of social media specifically? Or a more general fragmentation phenomenon?
Totally agree, which is why I think it’s so important what you’ve gone 0 -> 1 on (gating + forums that allowed 1k-100k of likeminded people to be and build together) We depart Roman Empire and return to Greek cities and Italian city-states? https://warpcast.com/tldr/0x93f709
Why wouldn’t modern social media (web2) follow the same pattern as prior social media eras, where the old versions are entirely replaced? What makes this cycle different than the past ones?
For those interested in a deeper meaning behind this cast: http://paulgraham.com/re.html
blog as home and social outposts that you mentally context switch into
As speed+efficiency of communication continues to increase, then increased fragmentation granularity of coordination groups (with increasing group autonomy) is also a good thing, as such groups are more adaptive. But — provided that we also have more effective inter-group coordination systems & approaches.
There’s a saying in media You bundle to unbundle So you can rebundle all the same
agree. filter bubbles exist and the cost to deploy a thing for that filter bubble will continue to go down. it will increasingly come no liquidity tradeoff too. basically just need an etherscan of social activity.
Perhaps fragmentation based on user macro preference. I love this platform because it’s primarily composed of individuals involved in blockchain.
It feels that way. But it also felt that way when there dozens of posts about “the long tail” and then power law dynamics meant everyone watched the same handful of shows and creators on the same few platforms.
Yep, everywhere a content desert now https://warpcast.com/popstar/0x158f60
1000 percent, nothing will ever touch the summer or clubhouse / twitter again
agree tho expect it to get better to walk and connect the fragments subjectively
And I still feel like a platform agnostic, shared tagging layer could become one thread that connects the fragments.
It’s like the content-graph fragments, but the follow-graph consolidates (← around the sovereign user)
fragmentary and heterogeneous systems are less efficient but more robust
It’s less about absolute & more about relative. Early social was expedition to seeing what’s possible & how we feel about it. This stage is about refining the methods & validating routes. Next success might be the super wallet which enables optimal connections.
The streaming world and likewise film studios are literally facing a revolution in that space due to fragmentation
Twitter will be Byzantium. Then sold to Saudi Arabia and become the new Ottoman Empire.
unbundle into protocols -> re-bundle leveraging permissionless composability
prob room for multiple players. in an ideal world, the protocol is open and the multiple players can converge/bridge if they choose to share discussions
💯 agree and it will only get crazier and crazier. I quit believing in unified social graphs/identities awhile ago, if threads achieves it's goal we will see highly dispersed brand identities attempting to unify under a common protocol.
I'm an optimist, if the new dec platforms are truly decentralised as they claim to be, the new "composable master" should be x10 Twitter every account will just need to join this or that additional network to be able to enjoy a niche subset of features it needs. I welcome our new fragmented overlords.
strong agree 🤝 Collab.Land is prioritizing community portability
2020 and before was very special 🙏🏼 From my exp. I genuinely think the IG migration that happened during covid was the catalyst/core to a lot of Twitters downfalls since.
Parallel fragmentation in non-digital world as well. Post-covid, de-globalization has been a major narrative. The infrastructure for digital nation states further fuels Great Fragmenting, imo. Social media empires will fragment, to ur point. It won't be exactly repeat pre-industrial, but it'll rhyme