4 Five years is a long time. We will see some amazing clients over the years with specializations (video/audio) and areas of interest (geographic/politics). Not to mention some will favor ads or more/less censorship.
1. It’s hard for me to imagine other clients being able to compete with the OG team speed.
3. Seems like a nice range to account for Warpcast first mover advantage when it comes to new features + my hope that other clients will indeed take off.
3 the driving on forces are pro decentralization I think (hope) they'll drive their audience to a variety of different clients
3 My thesis claim that when the underlying social graph is open - apps have less moats and users are less captive - There will be a proliferation of clients that offer more segmented & tailored experience for sub groups. Essential - we won't see the web2 social patterns of handful of apps controlling 99% of the market
2 it's just hard to outseat incumbents in a big way
4 It's hard to tell as the landscape of apps will be greater by then. Warpcast is the arc that will lead us into a more decentralised world. At the moment we are all gathering at the entrance and we're already quickly discovering and developing new dimensions of possibilities.
2. It is because of how this team ships that I expect others to take share from them over that period of time. I expect the protocol to replace for many discord, twitter, telegram, Reddit, insta, and basically all social networks. They will focus on mass adoption and others will cater to unique uses and niches.
3. warpcast is the best for current user profiles but other users might like other clients better in 5 years.
3. Although network effects are powerful for social products, I still believe that there will be more competitive products in the future.
3 that mean most of total user activity are still on 3rd party under this growing ecosystem! Farcaster will be the core of many other apps with/without people knowing about it.
3. Warpcast need still develop and add many feature