I came to the conclusion as Chamath a week or two ago and said the same to many founder friends (who still think I am crazy to think this way b/c their VC partner who btw has 3years work experience in entire life said otherwise): https://youtu.be/i1gMhEUXeNk?t=623 @evaav: Chamath agrees with me word for word
Chamath seems to be a couple weeks behind, haha. I was so onboard when I saw langchain recursion demos a couple weeks ago. It’s hard to keep up with the pace of AI development.
fwiw, imo your job as vc-backed founder is to figure markets, build company and give positive multiple return -- ideally 1000x+. historically over 5-8years timeline. first 2-3years are hardest in their own way. don't forget most funds return -2x to their lps. even a 2-5x return is better than 80% of their portfolio
To argue the other side: 1. It's fundamentally atoms-limited by GPU capacity? 2. Attention is still scarce / fickle? 3. Regulatory capture / interfacing with analog / bureaucratic systems still exist?
There is no going backwards, to pretend we can undo this IS the mistake imo. No regulation will solve for this, I would personally fight to undo anything regulation might impose. I disagree that we should slow this down, I see it as equal to shutting down nuclear which is one of the worst mistakes humans have made
I think Im with the Church of Acclerationism on this. We’ve got big problems to solve and AI will help us solve it. It will also lay bare a lot of problems that exist structurally in society and force us to confront it head on, inequality for example. Will help us come up with structural solutions. Full steam ahead!