Copilot is great but I think the media overstates how much productivity gain it's giving software engineers. Let's just say it's true that it's writing ~50% of the code but it's not the same as only need half the size of engineering team - most of our time is spent on not writing code.
A lot of that time not coding isn't necessary for everyone. Copilot lets more experienced devs focus on architecture and optimization without needing as many junior devs to help. Other AI tools are accelerating the career development of junior devs. I think the end result is smaller eng teams doing more.
copilot is barely even good at coding in my experience. i can only use it reliably for boilerplate that i have to explicitly prompt it with. also with writing documentation it can help me finish sentences, but it has no ability to predict what the function does after i wrote it unless i start the docs myself
Feels to me like more of an accelerant of the sovereign individual thesis. My side projects move 10x faster.
GPT-3 and GPT-4 write text that is indistinguishable from humans. I've heard of some people being better writing text but haven't heard of any companies getting rid of journalists.