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In reply to @timdaub
3/18/2023
Dan Romero@dwr
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rorschach_test In this situation, people are going to reinforce their belief based on priors. :)
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In reply to @dwr
3/18/2023
tim 🥝@timdaub
yeah ok but his betting math is still silly and it seems he slipped. That’s independent of the bet. The more unlikely outcome has the better odds and he overpaid. The bet is interesting but the set up is wrong or not?
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